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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Bears defense has been something of pass funnel last year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (37.0 per game) last year.
  • The projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to garner 6.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a lowly 54.5 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast DeAndre Hopkins to be a less important option in his team's passing offense this week (17.2% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (29.0% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year.
  • With a bad 56.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (10th percentile) last year, DeAndre Hopkins places among the least sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.

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