DeAndre Hopkins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to total 11.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack this week (31.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (25.0% in games he has played).

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (63%) to WRs this year (63.0%).
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has given their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.