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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-165/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has run a route on 95.1% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to accumulate 8.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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