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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.6 per game) this year.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

DeAndre Hopkins's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 56.6% to 68.9%.

DeAndre Hopkins's receiving efficiency has improved this season, notching 8.93 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.78 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a huge 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

DeAndre Hopkins has run fewer routes this season (48.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (86.5%).

After accumulating 119.0 air yards per game last year, DeAndre Hopkins has gotten worse this year, currently averaging 40.0 per game.

DeAndre Hopkins's 31.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks an impressive drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 61.0 mark.

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