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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

While DeAndre Hopkins has received 11.4% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Tennessee's passing offense in this week's game at 19.0%.

In regards to air yards, DeAndre Hopkins grades out in the towering 96th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a striking 105.0 per game.

With a fantastic 57.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, DeAndre Hopkins rates as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Titans since the start of last season (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

With a weak 2.76 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (19th percentile) since the start of last season, DeAndre Hopkins rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL in space.

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