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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Titans as the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

When talking about air yards, DeAndre Hopkins ranks in the towering 96th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 112.0 per game.

With a terrific 58.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, DeAndre Hopkins has been among the top pass-catching WRs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 126.4 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 54.6 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.7 per game) last year.

Our trusted projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to be a much smaller part of his offense's pass attack this week (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (27.0% in games he has played).

When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season.

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