DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 20, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
DeAndre Hopkins has run a route on 95.1% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to accumulate 8.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

DeAndre Hopkins has been among the bottom WRs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 3.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 24th percentile.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.