DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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DeAndre Hopkins

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 75.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 72.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Favors Under

DeAndre Hopkins's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this season, averaging just 2.04 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.43 figure last season.
The New England Patriots defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 143.0) vs. wideouts this year.
The New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.3%) vs. WRs this year (63.3%).
The New England Patriots pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.75 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the NFL.
The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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