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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+112/-151).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +138 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

DeAndre Hopkins has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 29.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed the 7th-least touchdowns through the air in football to wideouts: 0.50 per game this year.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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