DeAndre Carter Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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DeAndre Carter

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Carter

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM EST

Analysis

DeAndre Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.5% pass rate.
DeAndre Carter has been among the most efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging a terrific 9.39 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the highest Completion% in football (73.8%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (73.8%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, surrendering 9.07 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.
The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks rank as the 8th-worst CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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