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DeAndre Carter

DeAndre Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers

DeAndre Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 63.4 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

DeAndre Carter has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (40.0 per game) than he did last year (29.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.

THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Carter to be a less important option in his team's air attack this week (3.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.2% in games he has played).

The Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 133.0) to wideouts this year.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, giving up 7.72 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.

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