DeAndre Carter Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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DeAndre Carter

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Carter

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

DeAndre Carter Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+299/-530).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -394 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -530.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
DeAndre Carter's possession skills have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 61.1% to 77.4%.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.6%) vs. wideouts this year (63.6%).
The Seattle Seahawks defense has given up the 9th-least passing TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.67 per game this year.

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