DeAndre Carter Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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DeAndre Carter

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Carter

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 18, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Carter Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+381/-784).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -684 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -784.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
DeAndre Carter has notched quite a few more air yards this year (34.0 per game) than he did last year (29.0 per game).
DeAndre Carter's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 61.1% to 82.2%.
The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (63.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.8%).
The Denver Broncos defense has given up the least touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wideouts: 0.20 per game this year.
The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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