Dawson Knox Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dawson Knox

NFL · Player Props

Dawson Knox

TE · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 4:18 PM EST

Analysis

Dawson Knox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-225).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dawson Knox's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 77.4% to 80.6%.
The Ravens pass defense has been gouged for the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.5%) to TEs this year (78.5%).

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the Bills being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bills this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).
Dawson Knox's 12.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 22.3.

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