Dawson Knox Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

My Account Log Out

reorder

Dawson Knox

NFL · Player Props

Dawson Knox

TE · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 12, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Dawson Knox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+117/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and lower rush volume.
Dawson Knox's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 77.4% to 100.0%.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 52.5 plays per game.
Dawson Knox's 8.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 22.3.
As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.

More Dawson Knox Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow