My Account Log Out

reorder

Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-198).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -198.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.

With an impressive 62.2% snap rate (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Dawson Knox places as one of the running backs with the highest volume in the league.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Baltimore's group of safeties has been atrocious since the start of last season, projecting as the 9th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bills as the 11th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are projected by the model to call just 60.2 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

With a poor 65.2% Adjusted Catch% (9th percentile) since the start of last season, Dawson Knox rates among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among TEs.

More Dawson Knox Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™