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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Dawson Knox has played on 58.8% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.

The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Miami's group of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, profiling as the 7th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

With a weak 63.7% Adjusted Completion% (10th percentile) since the start of last season, Dawson Knox ranks as one of the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to TEs.

More Dawson Knox Player Props

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