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Dawson Knox
NFL · Player Props
Dawson Knox
TE · Buffalo Bills
Receptions
Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2023 Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC
NFL Props Dawson Knox Receptions

Dawson Knox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.

Favors Over
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
  • Dawson Knox has been among the top pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for the highest Completion% in the NFL (80.3%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (80.3%).
Favors Under
  • The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Bills have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.0 plays per game.
  • Dawson Knox's 21.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 27.4.
  • Dawson Knox's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 74.5% to 64.4%.
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