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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Dawson Knox has run a route on 75.3% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.

Dawson Knox has been among the top pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 123.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.

The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

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