Dawson Knox Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dawson Knox

NFL · Player Props

Dawson Knox

TE · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dawson Knox's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 77.4% to 80.6%.
The Ravens pass defense has been gouged for the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.5%) to TEs this year (78.5%).
This year, the porous Baltimore Ravens defense has surrendered the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a monstrous 8.28 yards.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the Bills being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bills this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).
Dawson Knox has put up far fewer air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

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