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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a remarkable 60.9% Snap% (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Dawson Knox has been among the RBs with the highest volume in the league.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

With a remarkable 9.6 adjusted yards per target (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Dawson Knox places as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game in the league.

The New York Jets safeties project as the 9th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bills being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Bills to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Bills since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

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