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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.

With an impressive 62.2% snap rate (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Dawson Knox places as one of the running backs with the highest volume in the league.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Ravens defense has yielded the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (50.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bills as the 11th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are projected by the model to call just 60.2 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

With a poor 65.2% Adjusted Catch% (9th percentile) since the start of last season, Dawson Knox rates among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among TEs.

Dawson Knox checks in as one of the least effective receivers in football among tight ends, averaging a mere 6.22 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 13th percentile.

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