Davis Mills Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Davis Mills

NFL · Player Props

Davis Mills

QB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 4, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Davis Mills Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 30.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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