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Davis Mills

Davis Mills Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Davis Mills Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 30.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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