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Davis Mills

Davis Mills Interceptions
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Davis Mills Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to use backup QB Davis Mills.
  • The Texans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Houston Texans offense has played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.94 seconds per snap.
  • Davis Mills has registered 0.81 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 17th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
  • Tennessee's defense grades out as the worst in the league this year as it relates to causing interceptions, averaging a lowly 0.24 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to pass on 55.7% of their chances: the 11th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • In this week's game, Davis Mills is projected by the model to wind up with the 10th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 33.6.

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