Davis Mills Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Davis Mills

NFL · Player Props

Davis Mills

QB · Houston Texans

Interceptions

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 10:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Davis Mills Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to use backup QB Davis Mills.
The Texans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Houston Texans offense has played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.94 seconds per snap.
Davis Mills has registered 0.81 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 17th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
Tennessee's defense grades out as the worst in the league this year as it relates to causing interceptions, averaging a lowly 0.24 per game.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to pass on 55.7% of their chances: the 11th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
In this week's game, Davis Mills is projected by the model to wind up with the 10th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 33.6.

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