My Account Log Out

reorder

Davis Mills

Davis Mills Interceptions
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Davis Mills Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

The Tennessee Titans pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.

The Tennessee Titans defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

The Houston Texans offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

More Davis Mills Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™