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David Njoku
NFL · Player Props
David Njoku
TE · Los Angeles Chargers
Touchdowns
Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 3, 2026 Updated Sep 22, 2026 7:47 AM EST
NFL Props › David Njoku › Touchdowns

David Njoku Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+574/-719).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -719.

Favors Over
  • This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Chargers, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
  • The 4th-most plays in the league have been run by the Chargers since the start of last season (a whopping 59.4 per game on average).
  • David Njoku has posted a massive 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • David Njoku's 74.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a noteworthy improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 71.0% figure.
  • With a remarkable ratio of 0.27 per game through the air (82nd percentile), David Njoku places as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among tight ends since the start of last season.
Favors Under
  • Right now, the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (58.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chargers.
  • The projections expect the Chargers to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and rushing stats deflated) as a result of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We ought to be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this game.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Buffalo Bills, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The leading projections forecast David Njoku to be a much smaller part of his team's pass game near the end zone in this week's game (13.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (18.9% in games he has played).
More David Njoku Props Data by WriteNow™
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