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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Dallas Cowboys

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 134.7 total plays run: the most among all games this week.

The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Browns last year (a whopping 63.8 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect David Njoku to notch 6.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.

With an extraordinary 22.2% Target Rate (97th percentile) last year, David Njoku rates as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Browns as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense last year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

With a bad 68.1% Adjusted Catch% (17th percentile) last year, David Njoku rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to TEs.

Last year, the fierce Dallas Cowboys defense has given up a measly 70.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.

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