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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 66.0 plays per game.
  • The model projects David Njoku to garner 4.7 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • With an impressive 3.8 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) this year, David Njoku has been as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Browns are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 52.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • David Njoku's 14.0% Target Share this season shows a a noteworthy decline in his passing attack workload over last season's 20.3% rate.

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