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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Joe Flacco.
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • In this week's game, David Njoku is expected by the predictive model to finish in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.7 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • David Njoku's 64.9% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 77.2% figure.
  • This year, the stout Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up a feeble 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.
  • The Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 9th-best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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