David Njoku Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-127/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 66.5 plays per game.
In this week's game, David Njoku is anticipated by the model to land in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.5 targets.
David Njoku has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which ranks in the 95th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 56.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
David Njoku's 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 77.2% rate.

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