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David Njoku
NFL · Player Props
David Njoku
TE · Cleveland Browns
Receptions
Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 26, 2023 9:06 PM UTC
NFL Props David Njoku Receptions

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -137.

Favors Over
  • The Browns have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 66.9 plays per game.
  • The model projects David Njoku to garner 6.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
  • The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • With a stellar 4.5 adjusted receptions per game (92nd percentile) this year, David Njoku places among the best pass-catching TEs in the NFL.
  • This year, the poor Denver Broncos pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 82.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the highest rate in football.
Favors Under
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 52.0% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Denver Broncos, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.9 per game) this year.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point decline in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, David Njoku has been featured much less in his offense's air attack.
  • David Njoku's 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows an impressive regression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 77.2% mark.
More David Njoku Props Data by WriteNow™
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