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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

In this week's contest, David Njoku is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 91st percentile among tight ends with 5.9 targets.

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point reduction in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, David Njoku has been relied on much less in his offense's pass attack.

The Ravens pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.7%) versus TEs this year (67.7%).

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the best in football.

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