David Njoku Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to total 6.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
David Njoku has been a more integral piece of his offense's pass game this year (20.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (11.8%).
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 9th-least in football.
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 5th-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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