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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 66.9 plays per game.
  • The model projects David Njoku to garner 6.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
  • The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • David Njoku has been one of the top TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 44.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.
  • David Njoku's 8.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a substantial improvement in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.2% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 52.0% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Denver Broncos, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.9 per game) this year.
  • After totaling 45.0 air yards per game last year, David Njoku has gotten worse this year, currently averaging 21.0 per game.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point decline in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, David Njoku has been featured much less in his offense's air attack.

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