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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to total 6.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.

David Njoku has been a more integral piece of his offense's pass game this year (20.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (11.8%).

David Njoku has compiled far more air yards this season (46.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 9th-least in football.

David Njoku's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, accumulating just 5.61 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.64 mark last year.

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 5th-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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