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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+119/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.10 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to earn 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
  • David Njoku has been a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this year (20.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (11.8%).
  • David Njoku has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (47.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game).
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has allowed the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 30.0) to tight ends this year.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in football (54%) to TEs this year (54.0%).

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