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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans

David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are an enormous 12.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Lions as the 10th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

David Montgomery has received 47.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

David Montgomery has picked up 69.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football when it comes to running backs (85th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

The Titans defense owns the 5th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, allowing just 3.93 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's unit has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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