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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 59.6 per game on average).
  • The projections expect David Montgomery to notch 11.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
  • Among all RBs, David Montgomery ranks in the 82nd percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 49.7% of the workload in his offense's running game.
  • David Montgomery has picked up 76.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in football when it comes to running backs (91st percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 39.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 63.0 per game) against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.
  • The Vikings defensive ends rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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