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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a massive 60.9 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect David Montgomery to accrue 15.0 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

David Montgomery has been a more integral piece of his offense's running game this year (60.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (39.4%).

The Lions offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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