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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 40.1% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-focused team in the NFL has been the Lions.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 65.8 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).

This week, David Montgomery is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.6 carries.

David Montgomery has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this year (64.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (39.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 92.0 per game) versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.

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