David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+145).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The model projects the Texans to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 61.9% pass rate.
The projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 28.05 seconds per play.
The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
Our trusted projections expect David Montgomery to accumulate 2.7 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.
With an impressive 92.5% Adjusted Catch% (75th percentile) since the start of last season, David Montgomery stands as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.
Favors Under
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 2nd-best unit in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.