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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

David Montgomery's 35.8% snap rate this season conveys a noteable decrease in his offensive usage over last season's 46.2% mark.

David Montgomery's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 69.7% to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 53.0% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a lowly 55.4 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (81.2%) versus running backs this year (81.2%).

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's safety corps has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

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