David Montgomery Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

My Account Log Out

reorder

David Montgomery

NFL · Player Props

David Montgomery

RB · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
The Detroit offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

Favors Under

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
David Montgomery has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (33.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (56.7%).
David Montgomery's 1.0 adjusted catches per game this season marks a noteable drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 2.1 mark.

More David Montgomery Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow