My Account Log Out

reorder

David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+123/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 62.0 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Bears defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.

The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

The Chicago Bears safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are overwhelmingly favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

David Montgomery's 38.0% Route Participation Rate this season conveys an impressive decrease in his pass attack utilization over last season's 56.7% figure.

David Montgomery's 1.0 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 2.1 rate.

David Montgomery's 64.8% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material regression in his receiving ability over last year's 88.0% figure.

More David Montgomery Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™