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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 65.8 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).
  • The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • As it relates to defensive ends pass-rushing, Los Angeles's group of DEs has been terrible this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.9% pass rate.
  • David Montgomery's 39.2% Route Participation Rate this season signifies an impressive decline in his passing attack usage over last season's 56.7% mark.
  • David Montgomery's 65.7% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a noteworthy regression in his receiving skills over last year's 88.0% rate.

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