David Montgomery Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

My Account Log Out

reorder

David Montgomery

NFL · Player Props

David Montgomery

RB · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
David Montgomery has run a route on 54.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
David Montgomery's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 86.8% to 90.7%.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.62 seconds per snap.
The Chicago Bears O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
David Montgomery's receiving performance has declined this season, notching a measly 1.7 yards per game vs 3.3 last season.

More David Montgomery Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow