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David Montgomery
NFL · Player Props
David Montgomery
RB · Chicago Bears
Receptions
Chicago Bears vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2022 Updated Sep 26, 2022 3:00 AM EST
NFL Props David Montgomery Receptions

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -146.

Favors Over
  • David Montgomery has run a route on 57.6% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Montgomery to total 3.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among running backs.
  • David Montgomery has been among the top RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
  • The Houston Texans safeties project as the worst safety corps in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Chicago Bears will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.7% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 28.26 seconds per snap.
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
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