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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.3 per game) this year.
  • David Montgomery's 19.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates an impressive progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 8.0 figure.
  • David Montgomery's 94.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a significant gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 69.7% figure.
  • David Montgomery's 9.1 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a significant boost in his receiving prowess over last season's 5.0 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 14-point advantage, the Lions are a heavy favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.72 seconds per play.

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