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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Lions to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

David Montgomery's 12.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 7.4.

David Montgomery has notched a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (8.0).

David Montgomery's 94.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a remarkable improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 69.7% rate.

David Montgomery's 8.3 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.

The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Lions this year (just 54.8 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

The Texans defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 22.0) to RBs this year.

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