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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to run on 47.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Out of all running backs, David Montgomery ranks in the 83rd percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 47.8% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a lowly 55.4 per game on average).
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's safety corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

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